Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.245803 0.277295 0.310672 0.348621 0.390505 0.435255 0.486620
2025-08-10 0.209225 0.252728 0.301516 0.360062 0.428171 0.504659 0.596801
2025-08-17 0.176560 0.226489 0.285311 0.359242 0.449155 0.554404 0.686324
2025-08-24 0.152209 0.206128 0.272509 0.359416 0.469274 0.602527 0.775270
2025-08-31 0.132620 0.188793 0.260789 0.358585 0.486539 0.646691 0.860499
2025-09-07 0.119880 0.178529 0.256458 0.365829 0.513319 0.703026 0.962783
2025-09-14 0.106911 0.166271 0.247909 0.366081 0.530012 0.746270 1.049368
2025-09-21 0.096055 0.155654 0.240324 0.366466 0.546090 0.788607 1.135800
2025-09-28 0.086822 0.146323 0.233495 0.366930 0.561629 0.830202 1.222270
2025-10-05 0.080169 0.140132 0.230517 0.372350 0.583942 0.881530 1.323633
2025-10-12 0.075378 0.136310 0.230607 0.381993 0.612451 0.942317 1.440171
2025-10-19 0.069812 0.130630 0.227263 0.385952 0.632391 0.991255 1.541280
2025-10-26 0.065324 0.126503 0.226303 0.393917 0.659384 1.052535 1.664228
2025-11-02 0.061757 0.123591 0.227023 0.404463 0.690729 1.121416 1.800929
2025-11-09 0.056186 0.116546 0.220295 0.402399 0.702049 1.160493 1.894573
2025-11-16 0.051488 0.110586 0.214869 0.401969 0.715686 1.203333 1.995130
2025-11-23 0.047143 0.104816 0.209260 0.400721 0.727686 1.243806 2.093176
2025-11-30 0.044570 0.102200 0.208995 0.408511 0.754746 1.308664 2.230939
2025-12-07 0.041154 0.097536 0.204608 0.408690 0.768878 1.353264 2.338181
2025-12-14 0.038082 0.093238 0.200530 0.409061 0.783167 1.398399 2.447486
2025-12-21 0.035300 0.089248 0.196695 0.409543 0.797499 1.443900 2.558596
2025-12-28 0.033380 0.086921 0.195880 0.415486 0.821538 1.506088 2.698524
2026-01-04 0.032101 0.085886 0.197518 0.426076 0.854194 1.583629 2.865803